Will Hispanics choose the next President?
The front page of this morning’s Washington Post informs us that Kerry is beating Bush among Hispanics by a 2-1 margin. A nightmare for Republicans? Not really. Gore beat Bush by a nearly 2-1 margin in 2000, yet Bush still won (albeit barely). As Marshall Taylor pointed out in comments #2 and #5 on this thread, if you exclude California, Texas, and New York (three states that are not up for grabs in presidential elections), Hispanics account for less than 3 percent of the electorate. According to election number cruncher Steve Sailer, the Hispanic subgroup most aggressively pandered to–Mexican-Americans–cast just 1.1 percent of the vote outside of California and Texas.
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