The delegate count…and exit poll summary

By Michelle Malkin  •  January 9, 2008 12:41 AM

Updated delegate count numbers at Power Line.

***
Just fyi, via AP:

NH Dems

Clinton – 9
Obama – 9
Edwards -4

NH GOP

McCain – 7
Romney – 4
Huckabee – 1

Overall numbers:

Dem

Clinton – 187 delegates
Obama – 89
Edwards – 50

GOP

Huckabee – 31 delegates
Romney – 19 delegates
McCain – 7

Via comments, CNN’s updated delegate count:

1cnn2.jpg

***

While we’re tallying things up, here’s the Denny K vs. Fred comparison. Ouch.

And here are a few tidbits I found most interesting from the AP/TV network exit polls:

* Rudy’s 9/11 edge is gone. According to AP, 8 in 10 GOP voters say they are worried about another terrorist attack in the U.S. “Republicans expressing worry were split about evenly between McCain and Romney.” Rudy — Mr. 9/11–got only about one in 10 of their votes. “Obama and Clinton split the worried vote about evenly.”

* Immigration enforcement voters in the GOP are going with Romney. AP reports that “[h]alf of Republicans said illegal immigrants should be deported, and this group leaned toward Romney. Those saying they should be allowed to apply for citizenship, or preferring that they be allowed to stay as temporary workers, gave McCain an edge.” AP says “Romney led among voters most concerned about immigration, getting more than half their votes.”

* The unhinged vote.

AP reports: “Six in 10 Democrats said they are angry at the Bush administration. About one in seven Republicans said they feel the same way, and of that group, nearly four in 10 supported McCain and more than a quarter backed Texas Rep. Ron Paul. Only about one in 10 Republicans said they were enthusiastic about Bush.”

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Posted in: 2008 campaign

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Comments


  1. #1
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:42 am, Miss Ladybug said:

    NJ?

  2. #2
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:43 am, Michelle Malkin said:

    Fixed.

  3. #3
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:43 am, BrianNY said:

    I didn’t realize there was any GOP left in NJ!

  4. #4
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:44 am, BrianNY said:

    Oh…nevermind.

  5. #5
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:52 am, BrianNY said:

    Sometimes I think that Fred Thompson has gotten too used to saying a snappy DA remark and then having the screen turn to black every week (Law and Order.)

    We’re still waiting here, Fred.

  6. #6
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:54 am, PowWow said:

    Chucklebee has the most delegates. That may keep me awake tonight.

  7. #7
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:02 am, Mark Jaquith said:

    Republican delegate total, courtesy of CNN, which has a pretty nice election section.

    As of right now, Romney leads with 30, over Huck’s 21. McCain follows with 10. Amazing… the three most Left-leaning candidates in the race are leading! The three Right-leaning candidates combined have fewer delegates than McCain (#3).

    Poor Rudy… tied for last with Duncan Hunter at one pledged delegate each. Maybe he should remind us all once again where he was on 9/11. In Sarasota, Florida reading to school children? No, that was Bush. Rudy was in New York City, baby. He was there.

  8. #8
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:08 am, PowWow said:

    The AP link said Huck has 31 who’s right?

  9. #9
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:09 am, BrianNY said:

    #7 said:

    Rudy was in New York City, baby. He was there.

    Yeah, but Chelsea was really there…remember when Hillary went on GMA to tell how Chelsea was jogging around the WTC and just popped inside to get herself a cup of coffee when the first plane hit?

    Oh, my bad. That was just another Hillary lie that she never apologized for…

  10. #10
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:18 am, meatpieandtatters said:

    Wake me when the media hysterics are over….

  11. #11
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:26 am, Ombre Rose said:

    Did this count of the TOTAL delegates have the WYOMING credits to Romney? That 19 looks a bit low, to me, but I guess the DELEGATE COUNT I heard for Iowa was wrong???? 20 to Huckleberry, and 18 to Romney? I guess some of these are winner take all states???

  12. #12
    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:29 am, Ombre Rose said:

    On January 9th, 2008 at 1:02 am, Mark Jaquith said: …
    Poor Rudy… tied for last with Duncan Hunter at one pledged delegate each. Maybe he should remind us all once again where he was on 9/11. In Sarasota, Florida reading to school children? No, that was Bush. Rudy was in New York City, baby. He was there.

    Prolly playing Tea Party with someone else’s wife.

    Cry me a river.

  13. #13
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:14 am, flenser said:

    Amazing… the three most Left-leaning candidates in the race are leading! The three Right-leaning candidates combined have fewer delegates than McCain (#3).

    Who are you defining as left and right? I’d say Romney is right myself.

  14. #14
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:17 am, flenser said:

    The anti-Bush Republicans are going with … John McCain? Hmmmm. I wouldn’t have guessed that one.

  15. #15
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:19 am, DocattheAutopsy said:

    Michelle-

    Didn’t Hunter & Thompson pick up a delegate in Wyoming?

  16. #16
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:22 am, hadsil said:

    If Romney keeps coming in second in every state yet the one who comes in first is different for each state, obviously others will win more than one state, can he win the nomination?

    Say Romney comes in second 50 times.

    Huckabee wins 10 states
    McCain wins 15 states
    Giuliani wins 10 states
    Thompson wins 15 states

    That would be interesting.

  17. #17
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:25 am, flenser said:

    This site has a different delegate count, with Romney leading.

  18. #18
    On January 9th, 2008 at 2:27 am, flenser said:

    I think you have to win at least five states, by convention rules.

    And some states are winner-take-all. The Giuliani states all changed their rules to winner take all to help him out. Cheating, if you ask me.

  19. #19
    On January 9th, 2008 at 3:12 am, Justin Higgins said:

    Associated Press tally awards bonus delegates to Huckabee even though at-large delegates are split between candidates in Iowa. It’s an error. CNN has the right tally, and Romney is leading.

  20. #20
    On January 9th, 2008 at 3:45 am, PowWow said:

    On January 9th, 2008 at 3:12 am, Justin Higgins said:
    Associated Press tally awards bonus delegates to Huckabee even though at-large delegates are split between candidates in Iowa. It’s an error. CNN has the right tally, and Romney is leading.

    Okay, so it’s not Huck. I can sleep. Ahhh. Well now I have to get up soon. Is it just me or is the press going overboard against Romney? I know most of the time it’s usually just me. This time I don’t think so. Dick Morris was practically saying he should drop out after MI. Colmes annoying as usual. Hannity to his credit said something finally when Chucklebee’s guy tried to pounce.

  21. #21
    On January 9th, 2008 at 5:43 am, graysonret said:

    The way things are going, I may have to vote for the Libertarian or Constitution Party candidate. I have to vote and I don’t really like any of them. Either way, my paycheck will suddenly be smaller and the government will make more decisions for me in my private life.

  22. #22
    On January 9th, 2008 at 7:14 am, Vince said:

    Geez. When Perot was running (and took 19% of the vote) I was screaming at some of my Republican friends that they were idiots to vote for Perot and allowing the Democrat to win.

    After the election I finally figured out that some of the Perot voters were just gullible but the majority of them were just condescending, know-it-alls who never would admit what bozos they were.

    Let’s not let that happen again in this election. We are better able to influence a Republican in office rather than a Democrat. Right?

  23. #23
    On January 9th, 2008 at 7:58 am, mileslibertatis said:

    I don’t understand – the CNN page says Romney has 30 delegates, leading the pack.

    Me confused.

  24. #24
    On January 9th, 2008 at 8:00 am, pressto said:

    These smaller states really mean nothing, except for the Media Circus, and it will not be until Super Tuesday that we get a accurate vote to reflect the majority of the public.

  25. #25
    On January 9th, 2008 at 9:14 am, Rusty said:

    The unhinged vote? If only 10% of Republicans are enthusiastic about President Bush…and 60% of Dems and 15% of Republicans are very angry at President Bush…

    Wouldn’t it be fair to call the extreme minority the ones that are unhinged?

  26. #26
    On January 9th, 2008 at 9:17 am, Boomer said:

    This is not good news with the Huckster and “she who must not be named” in the lead with delegates. When I went to bed last night I though Romney had the most I wish I could go back to sleep. Now I will have nightmares if the two front runners continue to lead the pack. The only upside is we still have a very long way to go and I would really like to see a real convention for each party this time around instead of the MSM anointed ones always waltzing in as the preapproved candidate.

  27. #27
    On January 9th, 2008 at 9:31 am, davenp35 said:

    Romney is still leading the delegate count. AP’s numbers are wrong.

  28. #28
    On January 9th, 2008 at 9:36 am, pyhtboss said:

    We are better able to influence a Republican in office rather than a Democrat. Right?

    Wrong. John McCain’s been in the Senate many years and is hostile to his own party’s conservative base on amnesty, global warming, taxes.

    Insanity can be defined as doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. I’d suspect any conservative voting for a liberal Republican like McCain or Huckabee might also fit this description, given what we already know about their records.

    Losing the WH is the best thing that can happen to the GOP if they go with McCain or Huckster. They’ll then be the opposition party to the left and will fight their socialist programs at every turn, instead of this notion of playing along with them for the sake of retaining power, that we’ve seen in the White House for the past 7 years.

  29. #29
    On January 9th, 2008 at 10:07 am, thirteen28 said:

    Losing the WH is the best thing that can happen to the GOP if they go with McCain or Huckster. They’ll then be the opposition party to the left and will fight their socialist programs at every turn, instead of this notion of playing along with them for the sake of retaining power, that we’ve seen in the White House for the past 7 years.


    Emphatically
    agree with you.

    The corollary to that is that continuing to reward those who trash our core beliefs is a recipe for long term disaster.

    The only arguments for McVain or Huckster are arguments of power over principle.

    No thanks.

  30. #30
    On January 9th, 2008 at 10:38 am, StandardDeviation said:

    Here’s my thoughts on Mitt Romney at the moment.

    I still think the prospects for his future are good. Does anyone realize that Mitt won in Wyoming over the weekend?

    McCain won’t do well in the south, Huckabee won’t do well in the north and west. As long as Romney wins 1st or 2nd across the country as he’s done, the delegates will fall his way. It will all come down to two things.

    1. Winner-take-all states – Some states have rules which pledge all delegates to the top vote-getter in that state’s primary. So far that hasn’t been an issue for Mitt and that’s why he’s (according to CNN) leading the delegate count. He does have to win a few of the winner-take all states to have a shot. Mitt will have an uphill battle in some states like New York, which recently changed itself to winner-take-all to give Guilliani a push.

    2. Super Tuesday – If Romney starts taking bronze in more than a few contests on February 5th, then it’s over. He has to finish at least 2nd in states that assign delegates proportionately in order for the numbers to fall his way.

    It’s very possible that come the RNC, no candidate will have a majority of delegates. That’s when things would get very interesting and Romney might just be the compromise candidate in between McCain and Huckabee.

  31. #31
    On January 9th, 2008 at 10:47 am, gandolphxx said:

    McCain against the Bush tax cuts in 2001 and 2003.

    McCain for McCain-Feingold and limiting free speech.

    McCain for human embryo stem cell research.

    McCain thinks pharmaceutical companies are bad guys – voted for Sarbanes-Oxley that is hurting small business.

    McCain is against repealing the death tax.

    McCain supports forced government regulation of greenhouse gas emissions.

    McCain voted against drilling in Anwar.

    McCain would raise social security taxes.

    McCain would allow invaders [illegal immigrants] to stay indefinitely after [haha] paying a fine, BUT don’t you dare call it amnesty!

    McCain would rather thousands [millions with a nuke] of Americans die than pour water up a terrorists nose for thirty seconds – something all SEALS go through as part of their training.

    McCain thinks being chummy and cooperating with Ted Kennedy is cool.

    Do not beleive for a minute that he can be a conservative or controlled – he is in it for him, and doesn’t need nor want your input – he knows best.

  32. #32
    On January 9th, 2008 at 10:54 am, uhangtight said:

    it is obvious that the media wants the huckster or mccain, because they know what will happen. first, i don’t think either could win the national election, however, if by a small chance that did happen the core values of the republican party would be ignored ‘for bipartisanship sake’ and once again concessions would be made by republicans only.

    this is John McCains results from bipartisanship. dems do not make concessions, they get all that they want, and the republicans make all the concessions so the legislation is liberal. i believe this is the type of ‘republican’ that the huckster is, too. they are democatic operatives in the republican party sabotaging republican values on the legislation.

    if we get liberal judges packed onto the supreme court we are going to have great tribulation in this country. do you really believe that john mccain is going to pick a Scalia or Thomas? We will be lucky if we get a Sandra O’ from him. and, the huckster? what type of judge would he pick?

    the media has marketed to the voters the huckster and mccain. mccain has always been the media darling for obvious reasons. it really scares me that they seem to have found one they love more (huck the schmuck).

    i looked at the polls for SC, very scary. Thompson says he has to win in SC. I think it is time for him to look for a VP slot and make an alliance with Romney to give him the extra delegates and the power to win in the winner takes all states.

  33. #33
    On January 9th, 2008 at 10:58 am, DBNinKY said:

    I am devastated this morning with HRC’s victory, and I fear it portends of more victories to come; with this win, she is now certain to get the funds and free press she desperately needed to keep her sorry excuse for a campaign afloat into February. I had pitted hope against hope that Obama would handily defeat her in New Hampshire, and forever end any chances she had of securing the nomination, but I guess the Ice Queen’s tears were just too much of an obstacle for the less-than-clear-thinking voters in that state to overcome.

    Still, I wonder if today, in the light of a meaningless victory achieved from using tears to beg for votes from the either chivalrous or preponderately naive New Hampshire primary voters, Hillary still feels it was worth the price of her dignity and self-respect?

  34. #34
    On January 9th, 2008 at 11:48 am, DBNinKY said:

    Oops! I forgot to say that the reason I am so concerned about Obama’s loss in New Hampshire is I firmly believe HRC will be the next president, given the GOP’s currently uninspiring list of contenders, if Obama continues to slack-off and allow himself to be bested by the lesser candidate – Hillary – in the next few primaries.

    Had he better spent his time this past weekend answering back Bubba’s slams and Hillary’s crocodile tears, he may very well have won New Hampshire instead of now having to play catch-up to the Clintons!

  35. #35
    On January 9th, 2008 at 12:51 pm, madchef said:

    Could someone explain Hillary’s delegate count? The witch came in third in Iowa and narrowly won N.H.
    Are they giving her Mich. delegates since she is the only one on the ballot?
    I thought that none of Mich. delegates were being awarded after they moved up the primary date.

    I’m confused.

  36. #36
    On January 9th, 2008 at 6:11 pm, graysonret said:

    I’m going to form the Football Party. Joe Gibbs for President!!

  37. #37
    On January 9th, 2008 at 8:28 pm, BOB said:

    My opinion, the MSM doesn’t like Romney because he has the best chance of beating whoever the Dem candidate is.

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