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Politics and the polar bear

By Michelle Malkin  •  May 14, 2008 03:55 PM

It’s been in the works for quite some time, but now the decision is official. Polar bears have been listed by the Bush Interior Department as a “threatened” species. This is the first listing attributed to global warming.

What’s really going on here?

Kenneth Green at AEI exposes the politics behind the eco-radicals’ polar bear campaign and the consequences:

Listing the polar bear as a threatened species would have significant public policy consequences. It would set a new precedent, representing the first linkage of species endangerment with global warming. Such a listing would basically wall off the entire Arctic region to exploration, resource extraction, and development–at least by U.S. companies–and a threatened species listing would give environmental groups the ability to sue future U.S. governments to force them to reverse climate change by whatever means necessary.

There is little doubt that such lawsuits would be filed quickly. According to the NRDC:

Listing the polar bear guarantees federal agencies will be obligated to ensure that any action they authorize, fund, or carry out will not jeopardize the polar bears’ continued existence or adversely modify their critical habitat, and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will be required to prepare a recovery plan for the polar bear, specifying measures necessary for its protection.

The bottom line for rational cost-benefit analysts:

At present, polar bear populations are robust and, according to native people, are considerably larger than they were in previous decades. Predictions of polar bear endangerment are based on two sets of computer models: one set predicts how much Arctic sea ice will melt as a result of global warming, and the other predicts how polar bear populations will respond. But computer models of climate are known to be fraught with problems, and the ecological models used to predict polar bear response are equally limited.

Because of extreme limitations in data, it is essentially impossible to decide whether polar bears are endangered and whether their habitat is threatened by man-made global warming or other natural climate cycles. This is acknowledged by the experts themselves–the actual IUCN/SSC report is more broad in naming causes and more conservative about estimating their effects.

What we do know about polar bears is that, contrary to media portrayals, they are not fragile “canary in the coal mine” animals, but are robust creatures that have survived past periods of extensive deglaciation. Polar bear fossils have been dated to over one hundred thousand years, which means that polar bears have already survived an interglacial period when temperatures were considerably warmer than they are at present and when, quite probably, levels of summertime Arctic sea ice were correspondingly low.

In discussions of whether to drill in the Arctic, one of the arguments raised by environmentalists is that this would harm the habitats of the many creatures, including polar bears, that make their homes in Alaska. If polar bears are placed on the endangered species list, the legal hurdles to oil and gas drilling will increase. There are two subpopulations of polar bears in Alaska. One of them, the Southern Beaufort Sea population, is shared with Canada, and the other, the Chukchi Sea population, with Russia. Best estimates for these areas show approximately 3,500 polar bears total in these two subpopulations. Last year, Shell Offshore Inc. was about to start drilling in the Beaufort Sea area when a court order halted the activity on the grounds that the federal government did not thoroughly assess the environmental impact before granting permission to drill.

In petitioning against the drilling, environmental groups invoked sea ducks, whales, and, of course, polar bears, as well as the effect that drilling could have on native populations. The U.S. Minerals Management Service estimates that the area holds the potential for 7 billion barrels of recoverable oil and 32 trillion cubic feet of recoverable natural gas. With oil at over $100 a barrel and natural gas at $7.60 per one thousand cubic feet, these are some very expensive polar bears.

Posted in: Enviro-nitwits

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Comments

Comment pages: « 1 [2]

  1. #101
    On May 14th, 2008 at 8:15 pm, Hadenough said:

    Seems more like the Republicans should be classified as a ‘Threatened Species’

  2. #102
    On May 14th, 2008 at 8:19 pm, alaskangrizzly said:

    On May 14th, 2008 at 7:40 pm, josetheguerilla said:

    However, American innovation will eventually win out.

    Amen brother. Speaking of innovation (this one from Guy Nègre, so not American in this case) have you seen the air car?

    Air Car

    India’s largest automaker is set to start producing the world’s first commercial air-powered vehicle. The Air Car, developed by ex-Formula One engineer Guy Nègre for Luxembourg-based MDI, uses compressed air, as opposed to the gas-and-oxygen explosions of internal-combustion models, to push its engine’s pistons. Some 6000 zero-emissions Air Cars are scheduled to hit Indian streets in August of 2008.

    Barring any last-minute design changes on the way to production, the Air Car should be surprisingly practical. The $12,700 CityCAT, one of a handful of planned Air Car models, can hit 68 mph and has a range of 125 miles. It will take only a few minutes for the CityCAT to refuel at gas stations equipped with custom air compressor units; MDI says it should cost around $2 to fill the car’s carbon-fiber tanks with 340 liters of air at 4350 psi. Drivers also will be able to plug into the electrical grid and use the car’s built-in compressor to refill the tanks in about 4 hours.

    Most people who have their own garage have their own air compressor too. Talk about cheap gas ;)

  3. #103
    On May 14th, 2008 at 8:35 pm, josetheguerilla said:

    Most people who have their own garage have their own air compressor too. Talk about cheap gas

    Yeah, the air car is pretty impressive. They should design one for an American market. After coming back from Iraq, I decided I didn’t want my money to go to the Middle East anymore. I currently drive one FFV (ethanol) and one Diesel with a veggie conversion. The Diesel can run on number 2 diesel, biofuel 100, or straight vegetable oil. Options are out there, people just have to find them. I guess you could say I’m responsible for the food shortage. It’s more important to me that I made this decision, because my brother is now in Iraq.

  4. #104
    On May 14th, 2008 at 8:51 pm, alaskangrizzly said:

    Yeah, the air car is pretty impressive. They should design one for an American market.

    Indeed, I think once they figure out how to make the car meet all the safety standards for impact it will come here to the US. Plus I think they need to add a built in air compressor on the engine that runs off the main belt. That would constantly refill the tanks while in motion, and if perfected would make a near perpetual motion car that could run for weeks non-stop.

    Won’t be a huge seller anyhow for many despite the no-gas usage and no-pollution. It only gets just over 60 mph and goes 125 miles currently. It’s a city-use econo-car atm, but the technology is still new.

  5. #105
    On May 14th, 2008 at 10:01 pm, Azygos said:

    Might as well send a boatload of liberals down there to keep them “company,” too. Dinner guests, anyone?

    Thats just cruel to the bears. I can’t imagine liberals taste good at all.

    Anybody here seen these bears in the wild? I have and they are impressive. When I worked on an evil drill ship in the Arctic Ocean there was one bear who would swim the 1 to 2 miles out to the ship and play with the bouys. He seemed to think they were giant toys.

  6. #106
    On May 14th, 2008 at 11:06 pm, starlightwoman said:

    At some point the silent majority is going to get fed up. The problem is no one has stepped up as a leader. The Republicans are turning their back on their constituancy and sold out to the liberals. When America wakes up then we will finally have change.

  7. #107
    On May 14th, 2008 at 11:22 pm, JWS said:

    I’m personally out of hope. The signs are everywhere (a radical, racist, idiot like Obama is a step away from running (ruining?) George Washington’s Kick-ass company, etc-why go on?). The MTV generation has finally won. This (no it is NOT an exaggeration) could very well be end-game. This is exactly what they’ve been waiting for and this decision gave it to them. The slow decent has started. I won’t live to see it, but my kids may, and THEIR kids absolutely will.

  8. #108
    On May 15th, 2008 at 12:13 am, libocrat said:

    JWS, I’m an glass half full guy, BUT, when the CRITICAL MASS of SOCIETY, is/are TAKERS, and when the DEMOGOGUES, Rodham being the quintessential liar, continue to FEED the beast. And those who co-dependently EXPECT something FROM someone else. WE ARE FUQQED.

    Socialism/Communism had NEVER worked.

    That is what Rodham and Obama are selling.
    Free lunch. Someone else pays. Take EXXONS profits.

    But don’t touch OBAMA nor RODHAMS book advances nor residuals.

    When we American industry is completely CASTRATED and American business is REGULATED beyond profitability.
    WHO PAYS FOR RETIREMENTS?
    WHO has a PROFIT MOTIVE to be CREATIVE and to RESEARCH??

    Meanwhile, Obama and Rodham have a “PAID SPEECH” to give.

  9. #109
    On May 15th, 2008 at 1:17 am, Joy said:

    JWS - That’s where you and I disagree, I think it’s going to be a FAST decent. The pace is quickening every day. The slow descent began many years ago.

    My guess is we’ll all see it within the next few years.

  10. #110
    On May 15th, 2008 at 1:19 am, Joy said:

    Azygos - I bet liberals taste like Orcses… and they doesn’t taste very good does they precious? (Hope you’re up on LOTR)

  11. #111
    On May 15th, 2008 at 1:40 am, drfredc said:

    Seems “common sense” is an endangered species of thought.

  12. #112
    On May 15th, 2008 at 3:26 am, BrianNY said:

    #39 LarryD said:

    [The earth has actually been cooling]only since January 2007, but it hasn’t been warming since 1998.

    Thanks for the info and the link, Larry.

    #72 tarpon said:

    there are more polar bear today than there were in the 50s when market hunting pushed polar bears to near extinction — Today there are 3x as many as the 50s.

    I thought I read something like that recently. So the whackos are “predicting” that the polar bear will become endangered someday. While they’re predicting, what will the weather be one week from tomorrow?

    #76 soliel said:

    I wish pro lifers would consider the unspeakable suffering billions of animals undergo

    You’re just saying that because you know animals can’t speak, right, Mr. Smartypants?

  13. #113
    On May 15th, 2008 at 10:18 am, JT said:

    Liberals probably taste rotten, just like their politics.

  14. #114
    On May 15th, 2008 at 10:25 am, Yashmak said:

    conservative animal rights activist = oxymoron of the day.

    That’s not an oxymoron at all. A conservative animal rights activist just understand that the rights of the human animal come first.

  15. #115
    On May 15th, 2008 at 12:32 pm, sclawstudent said:

    On May 14th, 2008 at 6:01 pm, Romeo13 said:

    Its a well known fact that funding tends to dry up, and not get extended, when you come to conclusions different from what the forces providing funding want.

    I would also add, that as soon as Lawyers get involved in science, science becomes a matter of opinion, not fact.
    Face it, Judges are NOT equiped to decide scientific fact, just legal opinion…

    First of all, grants for research are not pay-for-play; you get the funding, THEN do the study. Thus, the issue is residual bias from the “gratitude” from providing funding as I was saying, not some quid pro quo arrangement as you imply. As for future expectations of funding coloring their findings, you can always pick up funding from the other side: if Exxon drops your funding b/c you’re too liberal, the US gov’t, UNESCO, G. Soros, etc will gladly pick it up.

    As for the judges: um, that’s kinda what I said… I’m not sure how you’re disagreeing.
    oh, and PS, relying on the statement “It is a well known fact” without some sort of further proof is itself a logical fallacy.

  16. #116
    On May 15th, 2008 at 12:54 pm, IndependentTom said:

    Well….I guess it’s time to buy the bicycle, plant a small veggie garden, and learn home canning.

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