Comments on: Iowahawk explains the mysteries of polling data

By: Iowahawk explains the mysteries of polling data « Top Daily Digest Reading

Iowahawk explains the mysteries of polling data « Top Daily Digest Reading — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 13:25:11 +0000

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By: wighttrasch

wighttrasch — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 21:28:26 +0000

Benjamin Disraeli or Mark Twain (depending on who you ask)

Since I am a native Missourian, I always give the benefit of the quote to Mr. Samuel Clemens.

By: Lan Astaslem

Lan Astaslem — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 20:41:56 +0000

“There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.”
— Benjamin Disraeli or Mark Twain (depending on who you ask)

I think we are seeing plenty of all of these in the MSM this election cycle!!

By: FamilyMan

FamilyMan — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 20:24:18 +0000

tre said:
FamilyMan
You forgot to carry the 1.

Your right. Sorry now the world will really fall apart.

By: TooMuchTime

TooMuchTime — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 19:28:20 +0000

As I’ve said before, all polls are crap.

I think all political polling should be outlawed. There is absolutely no good reason to have political polls. And with the MSM in the tank for the democrats, the exit polls are the worst. They just want you to stay home; The One has already won.

By: CO2 Producer

CO2 Producer — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:57:35 +0000

What if those blue balls are displayed every time you turn on the TV and go to the website that has your e-mail, and you think, what’s the use in voting this cycle?

The answer to that is, don’t pay attention to what you see. The chances are good that those balls have been inflated.

By: conservativesRus

conservativesRus — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:03:01 +0000

On October 29th, 2008 at 11:34 am, FilmLadd said:

Thank you Film….I was going to say almost the same from my interactions with him. I frequently questioned the core ideology. Though the answers were many times “correct”, I was often puzzled by the logic to get there.

By: conservativesRus

conservativesRus — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:53:36 +0000

On October 29th, 2008 at 11:00 am, sonofdy said:

My point is this, if one poll says obama plus 15 and the next one says obama plus 2, then the polls are crap. You don’t get a 13 point swing in one day. It just doesn’t happen.

And slightly O/T – but related. Although the stock market very frequently says differently, the underlying value of a company seldom changes by 10% overnight either.

By: BobonStatenIsland

BobonStatenIsland — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:33:44 +0000

Hey Rambler,
You have a point there about the Independents not in the stats. I also commented to my friends weeks back that the media is shooting themselves in the foot by waving the victory flag for Obama because Dems are notoriously lazy and will just stay home because they think their guy has won already. Even McCain said “We got him right where we want him” when refering to the Obama lead in the polls.

By: jsr

jsr — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:32:55 +0000

My decidedly informal poll of yard signs in my part of town is at least 10 to 1 in favor of McCain. While this area leans Republican (60%), there would normally never be this type of lopsided outcome in an election. It gives me some hope that the national polls are extremely skewed and November 5 we will wake up in a still sane America.

By: rambler

rambler — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:25:55 +0000

Actually, it may work to McCain’s advantage to have the polls list obama ahead. The Obama folks might not bother to stand in the long lines to vote if they believe he has already won. I speak to many fellow independents and we just don’t answer polls. A few have told Obama street thugs that Obama’s their guy just to avoid an argument.
Independents may not be on any lists so the only way to find them is through random calling, that is if we answer the phone.

By: BobonStatenIsland

BobonStatenIsland — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:11:02 +0000

We all know McCain’s faults. We aren’t voting for McCain…we are voting AGAINST Stalinist Socialism (Obama) and FOR Sarah Palin.
In addition, Obama WILL lose this election. He didn’t even really win the Dem nomination (given to him by the Super Dels and the Caucauses where “voters” essensially had non-private ballots). If you pay no attention to the media, as hard as that might be, the guy just doesn’t have the support of the everyman. Take a deep breath, don’t panic, and step back and take a long look at the PEOPLE. Sure, Obabma’s supportrs are passionate, but they only get one vote (we hope) each.

By: John Deaux

John Deaux — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:10:54 +0000

The only poll I’ll believe takes place next Tuesday.

By: rightisright

rightisright — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:01:44 +0000

John Ansell, wish I was as confident as you about McNasty winning…I will go against my true values and principles and vote for this center moderate only to put down Odummy for awhile.
I’m so in doubt of McShame/PALIN winning I bought me some more second amendment rights yesterday. After all I’m just a typical white man.
I don’t need a poll to tell me who to vote for.

By: tre

tre — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:58:51 +0000

#28 FamilyMan

You forgot to carry the 1.