Mediscare and the NY-26 loss; Plus: Ryan the Brave, Reid the Hack
I’ve had my doubts about GOP Rep. Paul Ryan’s commitment to fiscal conservatism in the past, but his mettle is being tested and this is his moment.
Beltway Republicans are going wobbly in the wake of the GOP’s NY-26 loss — seen as a referendum on the Ryan Medicare overhaul plan.
William Jacobson at Legal Insurrection draws bottom-line lessons from the NY race:
There were so many quirks about this race that it’s hard to draw simple conclusions, but I think the following apply (in no particular order):
* A third party candidate can make a difference, and in this case Davis certainly drew more away from Corwin than Hochul.
* The Tea Party brand is powerful. A phony like Davis, who petitioned his way onto the ballot and then chose to call his ballot line the “Tea Party” line still managed to draw a significant vote.
* National Republicans need to get their act together. This is not a district which should have been ignored for so long. The challenge from Davis was noted by me and others in early April.
* The ability of Democrats to scare grandma should not be underestimated. Republicans need to be very proactive and very hard hitting is getting ahead of Democrats and explaining not only that no one currently receiving Medicare will be affected, but that the current system will result in severe rationing if changes are not made.
* We need candidates who are fighters and are seen as fighters. Corwin was a perfectly good candidate, but she ran a fairly mundane campaign.
* In the face of the Democratic scare grandma machine, nice guys and gals will finish last.
* Motivation matters. There was a poor turnout by Republicans, who didn’t care much.
* Republicans should stop ignoring conservative bloggers. Many conservative bloggers, including Sam Foster of Lonely Conservative and Jazz Shaw who blogs at the HotAir Green Room, were all over this race long before anyone else.
* The MSM will message for Democrats all day long. Already last night the NY Times rand a banner “Rubuke Seen To Medicare Plan.”Needless to say the media will draw too many pro-Democrat conclusions from this race. But we need to learn from the mistakes, which need not have ended in a lost District.
For his part, Ryan is not running from the fundamental battle over entitlements and free-market reform. While Democrats shriek and moan about seniors rolling off cliffs, Ryan’s out with a sober, serious, adult conversation on the long-term structural changes needed to keep the system solvent:
Tea Party activists need to stand by Ryan and buck him up when the GOP establishment cuts and runs. Fiscal conservatism must not be beholden to electoral cycles. This is what real leadership looks like.
***
This is what utter, shameless hackery looks like, via Harry Reid’s official Twitter page:

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We’ve been through this many times. You only seem to approve of Democrats (or semi-Dems like Trump)- at least, you don’t seem to approve of anyone who isn’t. I really don’t know who appointed you the arbiter of all things conservative, or the judge of who is or isn’t conservative enough to vote for. I don’t argue for RINOs. I simply argue that the time for division and argument is during the primaries, and that electing Democrats, either directly or through voting third party, is abysmally stupid – unless, of course, you agree with them.
Of course not, and I suggested neither of those possibilities. They’re just more of your strawmen.
I don’t know why the people of Massachusetts voted for him, but as I recall, contrary to what RWR (and apparently you) think, most people on the board knew that Brown was no conservative, nor did he really campaign as one. Most people here supported him for one reason ONLY – he promised to be the 41st vote against Obamacare.
How’s Governor Moonbeam working out for you? I’m really curious, because I haven’t seen much at all about him in the media. I know he was talking about some budget cuts, but I haven’t seen much in the way of specifics.
I live in NY-26, so let me clear up a few things…
Much like Scozzafava in NY-23, Corwin was cherry picked by the party bosses in lieu of having a primary (whereby the nomination may have likely gone to decorated veteran David Bellavia, whom ended up endorsing Davis, IMO, as backlash against the GOP bosses for refusing to give him a chance in a primary), because she promised to self-fund the election (and she did such a bad job of campaigning, national groups had to step in to try to save her, wasting millions of dollars). To the base, she was nothing but another country club Republican being handed the seat, just like the guy she wanted to replace.
Her campaign was probably 75% negative and 20% fluff, so it’s not that she didn’t criticize her opponents… it’s that she didn’t give voters a reason to vote for her. She basically promised to be Boehnor’s lackey while accusing Hochul of being Pelosi’s lackey. Yay establishment!
She’s pro-choice, which was another reason for single issue social conservatives to not get out and vote for her. There was a write in candidate that ran solely on the platform of being the only candidate that was pro-life.
In short, like McCain, she was the candidate nobody wanted… and ultimately she lost, not because of a fake tea party candidate splitting the vote, but because she couldn’t turn out the base to vote for her, while Hochul, whom doesn’t even live in the district, turned out the Democrat base by scaring them into action. There is no national policy referendum to read into for this special election, it’s simply another case of the GOP forcing a bad candidate down our throats. I voted for Corwin, but I wasn’t excited about it, it was mostly because I didn’t want to see any of the other 3 candidates win… and it’s hard to win any election with that level of “excitement.”
DEATH PANELS!!! Their gonna kill grandma!!! Hands of my Medicare!!! Sound familiar? It should teabillies.
YES WE CAIN!
LIU WITHDRAWS!!!
Where’s the thread?!
The Dems cut something like 500 billion from Medicare in the Obamacare plan and much as I watched and read online and in the news not one thing was said by a Republican about that cut, in fact I haven’t read or heard anything by the National party about that cut. Why not?…Oh, I know they never intended to make that cut so we don’t talk about it. Reason # 999 to support Palin, she ain’t afraid to stand up to the big, bad Dems
Hey VP…I have been hearing that Krauthammer, Rove and Ginrich all refer to Cain as nothing but an entertainer. And yet, he is climbing in name recognition and polls are starting to show him moving ahead of the beltway boys. He is impressing me more and more every day. All they have against him is his lack of POLITICAL experience. I consider that a huge PLUS!! The way he is taking off, I have high hopes. I just pray there is nothing in his closet, because if there is, it will be found.
The beltboys are in a panic, none of their NotTheDemocrat candidates are catching on and Herman is. They will do/are doing whatever they can to undermine him, they dislike conservatives more than they dislike Democrats.
I consider that a huge plus too, and so do many who are hearing him for the first time. We need to try something different, the McCain Way was a disaster.
They are also saying he doesn’t have a chance because he has no “name recognition”. What kind of stupid argument is that??? We have a very loooonnnngggg campaign season ahead and Herm’s name already has widespread recognition! You are right, they just don’t like conservatives. What up with that? I don’t get it. I used to think that the Republican platform WAS conservative. Now I don’t think I would even recognize the platform. I know the democrat platform has changed to socialism/marxism. Or have platforms been thrown under the bus along with our Constitution?
Their latest dig is that he’s a cancer survivor, another plus in my book.
The RNC would rather lose than let a conservative get nominated.
Happy, VP: it’s all about “electability”. “Electable” to the beltway boys means “not a conservative”. It is being reported this morning that Palin has received the biggest bump of anyone from Huckabee and Daniels staying out and may even be leading.
With Daniels out, Romney in the toilet and Pawlenty generating no excitement whatsoever, and with Christie still maintaining he is not running they are now trying to get Rick Perry to change his mind about not running. They are looking for a sacrificial lamb to keep the conservatives out while setting up 2016 for “Jebbie”.
It is very expensive to sell cancer, especially when you have to overcome an incumbent who will spend a billion dollars.
According to Family Research Council, the Republican was a pro-choice RINO. I know the fake Tea Party candidate would have made any Republican win hard, but conservatives are going to stay home if no one on the ballot represents them. This should be yet another lesson to the establishment about running RINOs, but they are incapable of learning that lesson.
BTW, Dick Armey is dedicating his “Tea Party” (har-har) money to take out Romney. I read that as a signal to Romney to get out so the preferred beltway boy looks better in the polls, probably Pawlenty.
Perry is the latest lead trial balloon because all the other amnesty candidates have crashed and burned. The RNC is desperate for GOP voters to like just one of their amnesty candidates.
I’m still worried that Palin is Plan B.
Perry is for amnesty too?? For some reason, I though he was anti-illigal.
Who ISN’T for amnesty? Anyone? How about Herm Cain?
Palin seems to be a phenomenon among mostly women. Her “Mama Grizzlies” and “fight like a girl” message was one of her biggest mistakes. Girl power just doesn’t work among the broad electorate.
Also, her repeated endorsements of McCain and her pattern of endorsing women Republican candidates over the male Tea Party candidates really bugs me. I see her as a seriously compromised candidate.
There was a poll on Drudge yesterday asking AZ citizens whether they like Palin moving to AZ and most said no. Of all of the GOP candidates, she has impossibly high negatives with 58% of Republicans saying they would never vote for her. Of course, Republicans only make up 23% of registered voters these days and that is made up mostly by nose-holding loyalists who would vote for Obama himself if he was the GOP candidate.
Perry taks tough before each election, then says enforcement is the wrong approach after.
Watch Cain’s announcement from Sat. on C-span website, he says we need to enforce the laws.
Effective enforcement is ALWAYS the RIGHT approach. Otherwise why bother having laws at all.
But…but…that makes too much sense. You must be mistaken! According to Barry Soetoro, our laws were made to be ignored. He demonstrates that both in his words and his actions. He does not respect our laws, nor our Constitution. Why? Because he is not an American and hates the very country that he brainwashed all those morons into hating too. We have SO MUCH work ahead of us! One of our biggest priorities must be to take back our children!!
He’s just taking advantage of the brainwashing that the media and academia have been doing for 30 years. When leftists took over the education system they set in motion what has resulted in Owebowmao. He’s not smart enough to have planned all this.
Dear Reader is just that.
He Won…He is the Law….Prove otherwise….’nuf said.
I’m not too worried about the dem s current strategy of running from advancing a budget. Illinois and California will be leading the way in showing where unrestrained spending gets you and that 97-0 vote yesterday paints Obama as totally isolated from the nation.
The next year will not be kind to the entitlement class that will be the only remaining constituency the dems have. The fiscal reality will starve them out. Families will matter more than ever.
So she won. She has to run again in 2012. This is another distraction. Both parties have problems because they are more interested in preserving their power and perks than following the Constitution and solving the country’s problems. As time goes on, most in DC will be exposed for how inept they are.
What would happen if candidates had no one show up for their events to hear the lies and dribble they spew. They need to feel irrelevant. They need to be shunned, then voted OUT!
I believe most have, as Plan A, “Rent-a-Crowd” and the Union locals, well at least the Dems do, on speed dial to come to the rescue if such a crisis ever occured. Of course the state run media also can employ CGI and Photo Shop to create a crowd as Plan B.
ILMC
Man, I wish 5 bucks everytime this kid said “you people” “you all” or “you folks”
Why is Paul Ryan all of a sudden a lithmus test here? You had a far-leftist, a fake Tea Party candidate, and a pro-choice republican running in the district that contains Buffalo and this is all about Medicare?
Seems like the New York Republican establishment is the issue, not Paul Ryan.
Also, why are the democrats calling this a landslide win? They won the election by 4 points and all three candidates were under 50%.
Landslide Lyndon would be disappointed to say the least.
Sheesh these people are such pathetic P’sOS. They fold like cheap suits at an election loss, then like Chicken Little, decide the sky is falling and run away from any part of a platform that they should be supporting.