Open thread: Iowa Caucus squeaker — 6) Bachmann, 5) Perry, 4) Gingrich, 3) Paul…; Bachmann clings, Perry hints at dropping out; Santorum: “Game on;” Update 2:40am-Final tally: Romney ekes ahead by 8
Out: 9-9-9.
In: 23-23-23.
That’s where Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, and Rick Santorum currently stand as the results come in tonight from Iowa.
Via @politicalmath, a graphic that says volumes about grass-roots discontent:

If you’re an Iowa reader, tell us how you voted.
The politicos on tee-vee are all predicting that Huntsman, Bachmann, Gingrich, and possibly Perry will drop out after tonight.
As I wrote this morning, I’m not so sure…
***
UPDATE 10:18pm Eastern: With 48 percent reporting, Santorum is at 24, Romney 24, Paul 22 and Newt 13.
Perry’s abysmal showing could keep him out of the South Carolina CNN debate, Joel Gehrke notes at the Examiner.
Fox calls Gingrich 4th and Perry 5th. Let the recriminations begin (or, er, continue)…
UPDATE 10:55pm Eastern: With 88 percent reporting, it’s 25-25-21, Santorum, Romney, Paul.
Santorum is up by a 13-vte margin. Paul 3rd place. 5th place Perry’s donors who paid for Iowa ad blitz shaking their heads.
UPDATE 11:09pm Eastern Ron Paul is speaking. Son Sen. Rand Paul looks miserable. “You advance your cause by winning elections,” Paul tells supporters trying to muster up enthusiasm about his third-place finish.
UPDATE 11:19pm Eastern: Here comes Newt.
Subdued and tie-less, he addresses crowd – “I’m delighted to be here tonight.” He congratulates Santorum for his “courage” and “discipline”. Wishes he “could say that about all the candidates.”
Et tu, Newt?
Newt also congratulates Paul, but blasts his foreign policy for several minutes. Then, he waxes on and on about “great debates,” the “great debate,” and the “debate” that “will begin tomorrow.” He vows to solider on “for a few months.” Then, as predicted, indulges in a little whining about super PACs and negative ads.
Wah.
Exit music: “Eye of the Tiger.”
Blah.
UPDATE 11:36pm Eastern: Bachmann takes the stage. She focuses on Obama, economic freedom, faith. Congratulates top three. Curiously declares she “is not a politician” and talks about her husband buying “doggie sunglasses.”
No drop-out announcement tonight and she’s headed to South Carolina, just like I telegraphed this morning.
UPDATE 12:02am Perry reads a letter from a supporter, nearly tears up, apologizes for rambling on too long, then announces he’ll be returning to Texas to assess the results.
Sounds like he’s toying with quitting and not following Bachmann to South Carolina after all…we’ll see.
12:10am Eastern Santorum still ahead, leading Romney by 37 votes.
1:21am Eastern Santorum addresses supporters. “GAME ON.” Thanks God and Iowa voters for “being bold, not compromising.” At ease and speaking without notes, he praised his family, assailed the age of Obama, invoked shared values, talked about his coal miner father, and concluded with a passionate tribute to his 3-year-old disabled daughter, Bella.
It was a very good speech.
Meanwhile: Romney takes a 41-vote lead with 98 percent in.
UPDATE 1:32am Eastern Santorum back up by 5 votes. 5!
UPDATE 1:53am Eastern Romney just finished up a rambling address, a little harried and unfocused — but mostly struck me as plastic and perfunctory.
Speech grades:
Santorum – A.
Romney – Meh.
Buckle up. New Hampshire’s next.
UPDATE 1:15am Eastern Via Fox News: 99 pct of vote in and Santorum up by 18 votes.
McCain will endorse Romney in NH tomorrow.
Flashback 2010: Beware of McCain Regression Syndrome
***
Can this circus get any weirder? Ballots from two precincts are missing. Via Todd Starnes on Twitter: ” IA GOP tells Fox there will be an announcement if and when they find the missing caucus results.”
UPDATE 1:41 CNN reporting that Romney is up by one vote. Google spreadsheet showing Santorum up by 4.
UPDATE 2:03am Eastern CBS reports on Twitter – “Romney team says he won by 14 votes. Just talked to state party officials.”
Imagine if actual delegates were at stake…yeesh.
Update 2:40am: Final tally just announced. Romney wins (or rather, “wins”) by 8.
Record-breaking turnout: 122,255 votes cast, according to Iowa GOP.
But even with all that, Romney did not beat his 2008 Iowa performance (six votes less this time around).
Romney 30,015 to Santorum 30,007.
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I think most sound-minded people would concede that the “founders”- white men, tended to treat blacks and women, as lesser, in regards to their rights and privileges in society.
My insurance through my job pays for my birth control, but I do believe that federally funded birth control is a good idea. Unwanted and neglected children are a terrible shame, and will be a hell of a lot more expensive than pills, besides.
Then “Bible thumping” by that definition is something Obama as well as virtually every one of his predecessors has done.
You falsely assume that the American electorate is as atheistic as you.
I’m sure it seems that way to someone imbued in modern politically correct ideology, which in this as in so many other instances is at war with basic logic. Regarding a pattern of behavior as unhealthy does not mean you have anything against those who may be more tempted than others to engage in it.
I’m not an atheist. And some politicians tend to focus on their Christianity more than others. You know this.
And I answered your ludicrous question with examples relating to his desire to reinstate DADT, and his opposition to gays being permitted to adopt children. See, that’s not hard.
So keep making references to “unhealthy” behavior with could apply to ANY type of person, regarding MULTIPLE different types of sex acts.
I answered your stupid question:
Reinstating DADT and being against the rights of homosexuals to adopt children. Easy enough.
We’re grown. Again, just be honest. Goodnight.
I agree there, but given the track record so far, I doubt funding birth control is the most effective way to prevent that (given the track record in our society). The root of the problem is promiscuity. I think that’s what needs to be tackled. My concern is that funding birth control may promote the view that promiscuity is OK.
And you’re saying these views are unpopular, so unpopular that it would cost him the election?
Then why pray tell did the Democrats wait till after the election to repeal DADT, or to even bring up the subject at all?
Homosexuals have gained certain rights over the years. He wants to take them away. He wants to walk back Civil Rights progress. The DADT repeal passed pretty easily. He wants to take progress backwards. Florida is the latest of numerous states that allow homosexuals to adopt.
Santorum, armed with his alleged biblical principals, wants to take away the rights that homosexuals, and those on their behalf, have worked so hard to gain. And yes, that mindset is repugnant to most fair-minded people IMO. He’s going against the evolutionary progress of our society, and wants to take us backwards. And yes, I feel that will offend moderates.
The repeal of DADT is something Obama wanted to do after he was elected. I doubt the dems felt that it would be as easy, as it turned out to be. I was pleased to see so much Republican support. Even regarding staunch conservatives, I never even saw MM blog against the repeal of DADT. If she did last year, I didn’t see it.
You’re welcome for answering your question, though I’m sure you already new the answers. Have a nice weekend.
Progress
Lots of people who use birth control are married. I think it’s a lot easier to give people access to birth control than to convince them to change their sexual behavior. Unless you’re someone’s mom, they’re going to do what they want sexually. Even if you’re their mom, they might not listen.
Of course it did – it was a lame-duck session, most people were “tired of politics”, and the media gave positive coverage of it. The Democrats knew exactly what they were doing: don’t say anything about it while there was an election season, and then sneak it through while trusting the media to cover for them. That does not mean their actions were popular, regardless of what you “feel” their opinions are.
You’re welcome for answering your question
So you’re assuming the societal context has no effect on this? Was there any difference between promiscuity rates now and 50 years ago?
Don’t worry. The promiscuity rates will drop again once we get our European-style socialist utopia.
Once you realize your entire existence is planned and mapped, and you’ll never be able to achieve anything your parents don’t already have, then you drop into a permanent mid-life crisis starting about age 16, and lasting until the government cuts off your healthcare, and gives you “the pill”.
Just look at population growth in Europe and Japan. That isn’t birth control, it’s mostly apathy with life in general, and procreative urges in specific.
Well, Blackstone, perhaps you feel, it passed because folks were tired of politics. That doesn’t explain why republicans decided to not put much of a fight over the issue, and why conservatives in the blogosphere and talk radio hardly put up a fight over the issue. Based on your “logic”, Obama could have passed any liberal leaning legislation he wanted, because you feel folks were tired of politics, and it was a lame-duck session. Get real. Regardless of the lame-duck session, technology didn’t shutdown. And politics was still discussed and debated. Yet, yet, the DADT repeal didn’t seem to ruffle the feathers of too many people other than the likes of Santorum.
I guess we feel, differently on the matter, but I have facts–easy passage, minimal conservative opposition–and you have your feelings on why it happen.
I’ll try to get you to at least “apples to pears”, by explaining to you that nobody is trying to increase the voting age.
Homosexuals have gained certain rights over the years. He wants to take them away. He wants to walk back Civil Rights progress. The DADT repeal passed pretty easily. He wants to take progress backwards.
Homosexuals are increasingly permitted to adopt, which will logically lead to marriage. Florida is the latest of numerous states that allow homosexuals to adopt.
Santorum, armed with his alleged biblical principals, wants to take away the rights that homosexuals, and those on their behalf, have worked so hard to gain. And yes, that mindset is repugnant to most fair-minded people IMO. He’s going against the evolutionary progress of our society, and wants to take us backwards.
Sigh
That’s a bunch of metaphysical nonsense. The only thing that makes an idea “backwards” or “forwards” is whether it’s a good idea or a bad idea in and of itself, not whether it continues along the same path that things have been proceeding. If conservatives can sometimes be accused of blindly adhering to decisions made 200 years ago, liberals can far more often be accused of blindly adhering to trends started 10, 20, 30 years ago.
It’s pretty obvious Democrats know the real score (i.e., how the people would view the issue if exposed to an actual public debate on it), because that’s how they always behave on this issue: Do everything they can to keep the people as far as possible from the decisionmaking, and operate as far as they can from public scrutiny, and then once it’s a fait accompli, have the media trumpet it as the greatest thing ever.
Conservatives could try to fight it afterwards, but since it’s already a done deal, and there are so many more pressing issues given the way Obama’s destroying the country right now, why waste the energy?
Hilarious. Like the process took place in some secret fashion, in some far away mystical place–controlled by the mainstream media, via mind control over American citizens–where rightwing radio, and the internet fail to work.
This place exists only in the mind of Blackstone.
Despite all the flimflam you just wrote, the republicans who voted for it, could have refused to vote for the measure. They didn’t.
The conservative blogosphere and talk radio pundits could have raised a fuss over the issue. They largely did not.
There was a public debate on the issue, and John McCain was one of the loudest voices against it. Yet, I don’t recall many conservative voices making such a fuss. Maybe you slept throught it.
Funny, people have free will and can form opinions on issues. Gays in the military, serving openly, bothers very few people. The “mystical” powers of the media didn’t cause the repeal to pass with ease. The republicans in congress have free will. I hear they’re pretty smart, and can research and read…the whole nine yards. I also understand that they wouldn’t cast a vote, they felt would cause them severe backlash from their constitutients.
By the way, outside of Santorum, where is that backlash? Riiiiiggghhht.
Anymore mental gymnastics up your sleeve? I tend to cut through the BS.
Let me help you out:
“Gays in the military? Small potatoes. Conservatives have better things to worry about. Plus, with the war on Islamic Terror, we need America’s best and brightest, regardless who they’re sexually attracted to.”
You and Santorum can try to rebut that, but you wind up looking foolish and out of step…
This could go on for a few more days, but it won’t- not with my participation. Blackstone, there comes a point in posting comments on political blogs, when you realize that your “opponent” refuses to concede logical points, and has no desire other than to get the last word; regardless of how asinine and stubborn they look. Your nonsensical post #215 shows that you have reached that point.
As an adult, with s**t to do, I must drop the addictive feelings of threads like this, and realize that you have no desire other than to get the last word…logic be damned. Sir/Madam, you can have that last word, if that makes you feel better-for whatever reason. Clearly, I’ve made my point. Take good care.
There was a debate right after the election, when Democrats sprung the idea on Congress. By that time the public wasn’t paying attention, which was exactly the idea.
Just show me one case where Democrats have allowed a change in the law to benefit homosexual preferences where the public might have had an opportunity to prevent it beforehand (such as not right after an election where the issue had not been discussed). The MO is always the same: keep it as far from public scrutiny for a reason. They know exactly why they need to.
OB’s thesis: Santorum’s position on DADT would cost him the election.
What a shame the Democrats couldn’t have benefitted from your amazing political acumen, otherwise they would have been able to keep control of Congress in 2010. All they had to do was actively campaign for the repeal of DADT (instead of being quiet as mice about it until after the election), and Republican opposition would have exposed GOP candidates as a bunch of “intolerant bigots” for all the voters to see.
Glad to know I’m the one refusing to concede logical points.
But that’s exactly it. These things change slowly, over time. If it took 50 years for promiscuity rates to change as they did, you can’t change them back in a year or two, and I am not in favor of a generation or two of unwanted and neglected children.
And that would happen as a result of withdrawing public funds for birth control? Or would groups like Planned Parenthood still be able to raise money for it? If they devoted their operations to contraception instead of abortion, they’d probably be able to make up for the loss of government support (they already get considerable support from private donations as it is).
In the meantime, society would begin the process of starting to send the right message again. That’s probably the best way to reduce the number of unwanted children.